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Changing times

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lostagain View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote lostagain Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Changing times
    Posted: 16 Jun 2022 at 5:42am
Bottom line, lithium/nickel batteries alone can't do the job.  The supples of lithium and nickel are limited and the extraction process is very damaging to the environment.  Three quarters of the known lithium deposits are in Chile, Argentina, and Bolivia, all in very fragile ecosystems.  Nickel mining is also problematic.  Most comes from Indonesia, Australia, and Russia.  Low grade nickel ore is open pit mined with terrible environmental damage.  Though EV battery storage will be a major element of any electric grid storage system, much, much more will be needed beyond the capacity of EV vehicles.  We must keep an open mind to all viable and environmentally responsible methods for energy storage.  Putting all our eggs in one basket will not end well for humanity nor our planet.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote offgrid Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Jun 2022 at 5:50am
"Though EV battery storage will be a major element of any electric grid storage system, much, much more will be needed beyond the capacity of EV vehicles"

That is incorrect. On what do you base that statement? See below.



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StephenH View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote StephenH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Jun 2022 at 7:00am
Quote from the Forbes article: "'It really needs to change the behavior of the consumer to be able to harness the synergies between mobility and wind and solar,'" [Francisco Boshell] And another quote: "There are other driver-based obstacles, such as concerns about range anxiety and battery health in a vehicle that exchanges power with the grid."

What would be the impact on battery life of such an interconnected battery in a vehicle? How much shorter would be the life of the battery? Who would bear the cost of replacing the battery when it is no longer serviceable? Would the utility company then be responsible at least in part to replace the batteries in vehicles so used?

There are lots of details that would need to be worked out before such a system is implemented.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote offgrid Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Jun 2022 at 9:10am
Good questions. My main point with the article was to establish that there will be plenty of storage capacity embodied in EVs on as they proliferate as expected.

We do have some idea what the answers to your questions are going to be. First, the storage capacity is owned by the vehicle owner, at least in the EV ownership model that we expect to be most comment in the US. In some other markets many China 3rd party battery ownership is quite comment, as we've discussed in this forum before.

Regardless of who owns the storage that investor will expect to be compensated for offering access to his asset. This is capitalism in action after all. The mechanisms for doing that are already in place in many of the US electricity markets. Day ahead, hour ahead, frequency support, and time of use markets exist now. The pricing in these markets is nodal, meaning that pricing is specific to the level of congestion at different geographic locations on the grid. The prices at some of these congested nodes on some hot summer afternoons can be very lucrative if you have capacity available.

So the markets exist for electricity to be bought and sold to allow production and demand to balance out. Not only does this apply to energy producers but there are also demand side aggregators selling "negawatts" via load reduction. You can sign up to allow your air conditioner to be set back remotely under certain conditions for a given time, and get paid to do it. "Negawatts" of load reduction are the equivalent of bringing up a peaking plant to produce more energy as far as the grid managers are concerned.

Dispatch of on site battery storage works the same way. Several companies including Tesla, have business entities set up to do exactly that. So far Tesla is just doing it in a trial basis with their Powerwall customers, but the extension to EVs with bidirectional chargers is the obvious next step.

As for battery life, it is expected that Li batteries will outlive the vehicles they are in so that shouldn't be an issue. More of an issue will be to assure that the vehicle owner isnt stranded because his battery has just been fully discharged by the utility right before he wants to go somewhere. Tesla is addressing that with their Powerwall systems by allowing the homeowner to set the allowable discharge level based on his expected usage. So if you are planning a long trip the next day you should be able to opt out of the capacity program prior to your departure.

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Post Options Post Options   Quote GlueGuy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Jun 2022 at 10:46am
Originally posted by lostagain

Bottom line, lithium/nickel batteries alone can't do the job.  The supples of lithium and nickel are limited and the extraction process is very damaging to the environment.  Three quarters of the known lithium deposits are in Chile, Argentina, and Bolivia, all in very fragile ecosystems.  Nickel mining is also problematic.  Most comes from Indonesia, Australia, and Russia.  Low grade nickel ore is open pit mined with terrible environmental damage.  Though EV battery storage will be a major element of any electric grid storage system, much, much more will be needed beyond the capacity of EV vehicles.  We must keep an open mind to all viable and environmentally responsible methods for energy storage.  Putting all our eggs in one basket will not end well for humanity nor our planet.

I'm not as worried about lithium as I am about cobalt and nickel. All the EV manufacturers are experimenting with battery technologies that reduce and/or eliminate the need for those metals. Lithium has many alternative sources (EG geothermal vents, seawater, dry lake beds).

Another thing I heard about on Science Friday was the idea of polymer batteries. They are not as energy dense as lithium, but the possible recharge cycles is astronomical compared to lithium. Science Friday
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Post Options Post Options   Quote offgrid Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Jun 2022 at 1:58pm
So here's my question.

We have an excellent EV battery technology available today. Does the job well for most uses, and is undergoing continuous improvement and enjoying the benefits of economies of scale due to massive investment. But it, like all large scale industrial activity, has it's issues.

But those are nowhere near comparable to the enormous environmental and social impacts of oil extraction, transportation, refining, more transportation. and all the pollution associated with those. That's not even mentioning the GHG emissions from the vehicles thenselves or the dependence of oil prices on the geopolitical situation du jour. Putin sneezes and we have $5.00 gas...

Would you actually choose an ICE vehicle with all those problems over an EV with Li batteries, assuming range was not an issue for you?

If so then IMO that is a case of the perfect being the enemy of the good, and falls into the same category as those who reject nuclear power because you have to deal with the radioactive waste, wind turbines because they can kill birds, or solar because it uses what otherwise could be farmland.

Nothing is or ever will be the perfect solution, the scale needed to meet humans' energy needs is just to big.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote StephenH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Jun 2022 at 4:45pm
Add to that, And fusion energy is always just over the horizon.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote offgrid Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Jun 2022 at 5:47am

Let's hold out for this:

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Post Options Post Options   Quote lostagain Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Jun 2022 at 6:59am
That lithium batteries in EV's can alone provide enough storage for the world's electrical grids is utopian thinking.  Such a proposition fails to take into account that the approximately 2B ICE vehicles will be replaced gradually as they become affordable for individuals and institutions.  Until there is adequate density of EV batteries available to share on a "smart" charging system, there won't be enough storage to meet the storage requirements created by wind and solar generating systems (provided we construct these as fast as we should).  Such a proposition also assumes that everyone who has an EV will connect it to a "smart charging" system and share their batteries.  In as much as batteries have a life cycle of charging and discharging, there may be those who don't want to put their costly batteries through charge/discharge cycles on a public shared grid.  StephenH points out this problem and I think he is probably correct.  The article OG cited is an opinion, not a fact.  I hope it is true, but we cannot, as I stated before, put all our eggs in one basket.  

And, as I previously stated, the environmental issues of lithium, nickel mining need to be mitigated.  It is easy to dismiss these concerns provided you don't live in one of the countries being affected by this activity.  I doubt anyone would welcome such a mine on the property next to his/her farm.  We can overcome many of these issues, but to be on the safe side, we need to keep exploring new possibilities.


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Post Options Post Options   Quote GlueGuy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Jun 2022 at 10:28am
I personally don't believe that EV batteries are "the" solution. What I do believe is that there is a wide array of little solutions to the much larger problem. No one thing will fix this for us, but each and every one of the little solutions will hopefully add up to a way out of the problem we've drilling ourselves into for the last century.
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