Wind Turbine

Now you know that's not how the statistics work. You're arguing a form of the reverse gambler's fallacy. Our neighbors in Hatteras took that argument to the extreme, after we were all flooded by Matthew in 2016 they argued that the flooding was a once in a lifetime event and wouldn't repeat so they rebuilt without raising their house. We raised ours 11 feet and then rebuilt. Guess who got flooded again last year by Dorian and who didn't? 

The main global model track is the most probable, the ensemble tracks give you a good sense of how much uncertainty there is, In the case of Isaias the GFS ensemble is very tightly clustered, and the ECMWF is showing almost the same track too. 

That south wind buildup off the Jersey coast is pretty interesting, looks like its expected to peak in the 50- knot range. 

And please don't call me Shirley 

Airplane was great! Then I saw Tremors!

Burt Gummer: "Broke into the wrong goddamn rec room, didn't you, you bastard!"

Ha!

Rains moving in here. Gonna be an interesting day tomorrow, Genny plugged in and ready to go. Chainsaws gassed up.

And then there's Blazing Saddles, Mel Brooks' best film.