OBX this week

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   Tars Tarkas, 
You made a wise choice. Beach at Hatteras last night was already pretty much inundated due to initial swells from Florence.  That will only get worse. Weather is beautiful like it always is before and after one of these things. 

Looks like a strong Cat 3 at landfall somewhere between here and Cape Fear. The funky 30 year old US GFS model has the eye coming right over Hatteras Inlet between us and Ocracoke. The generally better Euro ECMWF and new "experimental" FV3GFS US models have it further south toward Cape Fear. 

Either way, I'd expect the evac for visitors to be called later today, maybe Monday morning. 

One of our benefits is we have our vacation houses with us so we can just go somewhere else. DW works in property management and all the guests who have paid their $10K weekly nonrefundable rental fees are freaking out now. They have no good choices.  Some are still coming in today.
I'm readying the "bug out" Pod now in case Florence takes the northern end of the guidance envelope. We don't stay on island when a direct hit from a major hurricane is forecast. I'm a stubborn old guy but not THAT stubborn 

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offgrid Members Profile Send Private Message Find Members Posts Add to Buddy List Senior Member Joined: 23 Jul 2018 Online Status: Offline Posts: 5290	Topic: OBX this week Posted: 09 Sep 2018 at 7:37am
	Tars Tarkas, You made a wise choice. Beach at Hatteras last night was already pretty much inundated due to initial swells from Florence. That will only get worse. Weather is beautiful like it always is before and after one of these things. Looks like a strong Cat 3 at landfall somewhere between here and Cape Fear. The funky 30 year old US GFS model has the eye coming right over Hatteras Inlet between us and Ocracoke. The generally better Euro ECMWF and new "experimental" FV3GFS US models have it further south toward Cape Fear. Either way, I'd expect the evac for visitors to be called later today, maybe Monday morning. One of our benefits is we have our vacation houses with us so we can just go somewhere else. DW works in property management and all the guests who have paid their $10K weekly nonrefundable rental fees are freaking out now. They have no good choices. Some are still coming in today. I'm readying the "bug out" Pod now in case Florence takes the northern end of the guidance envelope. We don't stay on island when a direct hit from a major hurricane is forecast. I'm a stubborn old guy but not THAT stubborn
	1994 Chinook Concourse 1995 RV6A Experimental Aircraft 2015 Rpod 179 - sold

Tars Tarkas Members Profile Send Private Message Find Members Posts Add to Buddy List Senior Member Joined: 14 Jan 2013 Location: Near Nashville Online Status: Offline Posts: 1446	Posted: 08 Sep 2018 at 7:53pm
	Figuring there's no way to win -- if we go to the Outer Banks we'll be evacuated mid-week because of Florence, if we don't go it will be the nicest week of the season. So, if you're thinking of going to the OBX this week, go for it! It's going to be beautiful!! We opted to go south, to Florida instead of into the eye of Flo. It looks good so far for Florida and except for not getting to be on the Banks, I have no regrets yet about the decision. I think we can get in to our favorite campground on the Panhandle and I'll still get some island attitude and get to ride my new fat bike on the sand. TT
	2010 176 FJ Cruiser